** Mostly fair and cool through Saturday, rain developing Sunday, upper foothill SNOW possible by Monday! **
39°F – A cold trough parked over the west is giving us mostly sunny skies with cold nights and cool days to the foothills.
That same cold, northerly flow set up some lake effect snow showers yesterday (Tuesday) over Pyramid Lake, and Walker Lake in Nevada and Lake Tahoe as well which resulted in several inches of new snow last night and this morning in a number of locations.
The good news for us is that the Sunday / Monday storm is trending stronger and colder. Indications are now that snow levels may drop as low as 3000-4000 ft by Monday, possibly giving the upper foothills a shot at their first snow of the season! Yes, you heard it first right here on Cascade Shores Weather! Mind you, this is not a certainty by any means, but the forecast models are trending in that direction. If we do receive any snow, it will likely be light amounts. We will definitely keep you up to date on any changes in the forecast. This is something that definitely bears watching.
Interesting to note that we haven’t seen an early a cold, wet November pattern like this one in 4 years, since 2011! If this cold, wet pattern holds into winter, dare we venture to say that we may possibly see a winter like the epic fall / winter of 1982-83, another very strong El Nino year where the Sierra and the foothills saw very heavy snow that winter?? We’ll wait and see how it all plays out.
As far as the foothill forecast, look for partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies Thursday and Friday as a weak storm drops down through Oregon and into far northern California Thursday, bringing a few showers there, giving us partly cloudy skies.
A much stronger, colder system will approach the coast Saturday afternoon giving us a chance of rain. Snow levels will start around 7500 ft, then lowers to around 6500 ft by Sunday. More significant colder air will send snow levels falling Sunday night into Monday.. to possibly between 3000-4000 ft. That would give places like Banner Mtn, Cascade Shores, 5 Mile House etc, a chance of snow (about a 50% chance at this time). Of course, this forecast is subject to change, but that is what forecast models are currently indicating.
Beyond that, we may see another cold storm drop down the West Coast next Friday on the 13th. Even more interesting, forecast models all agree that we may see even stronger storms dropping into the West Coast the week of the 16th. The parade of cold storms continues.
We’ll keep you updated on the very latest. So stay tuned and enjoy your evening!